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The Guardian·· 1 天前精選推薦指數93.68

‘Sharper, longer slowdown’ predicted for Australian economy as fifth interest rate hike looms

澳大利亞經濟預計將出現“更劇烈、更持久的放緩”,第五次加息迫在眉睫

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Australia’s central bank expected to hit mortgage holders again on Tuesday, as war in Middle East combines with collapsing house prices Get our breaking news email , free app or daily news podcast Australia’s economy is set for a “sharper, longer slowdown”, major bank economists say, as the Reserve Bank is forced to keep interest rates higher to rid the nation of persistent inflationary pressures. The RBA is widely expected to hit mortgage holders with a fifth rate hike on Tuesday, in a move that will push the cash rate to its highest since 2008 amid rising worries the economy could even be tipped into recession. Continue reading...

多家澳大利亞主要銀行的經濟學家下調預測,認為澳儲行持續加息疊加中東衝突推高油價與房價下跌,將使經濟增長明顯放慢、失業率上升。房價回調與加息還可能通過“財富效應”進一步拖累消費,衰退風險被形容為“顯著且上升”。

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推薦理由

文章把利率、油價、房價三條因果鏈並置,適合練習因果梳理與數據定位:先找出CBA與NAB兩套預測的差異,再對照布倫特原油價格與失業率數字,體會“同義替換”如何在專家引語中反復出現。結尾“財富效應”與45%衰退概率是推斷題與作者態度題的好素材。

來源:The Guardian · theguardian.com