Far right on the march and Lula’s failures: key drivers of Flávio Bolsonaro’s Brazil surge

Experts say strength of evangelical church and stubbornness of Lula, 80, also helped propel Jair Bolsonaro’s son to first-round election win

弗拉维奥·博索纳罗在巴西总统选举首轮意外胜出，分析人士认为极右翼社会根基、福音派动员、治安议题与卢拉竞选失焦共同推动了这一结果。卢拉阵营被指忽视民生诉求、误判选情，但第二轮选举仍存变数。