Far right on the march and Lula’s failures: key drivers of Flávio Bolsonaro’s Brazil surge

Experts say strength of evangelical church and stubbornness of Lula, 80, also helped propel Jair Bolsonaro’s son to first-round election win

弗拉維奧·博索納羅在巴西總統選舉首輪意外勝出，分析人士認為極右翼社會根基、福音派動員、治安議題與盧拉競選失焦共同推動了這一結果。盧拉陣營被指忽視民生訴求、誤判選情，但第二輪選舉仍存變數。